Predicting intraventricular hemorrhage growth with a machine learning-based, radiomics-clinical model

Abstract

We constructed a radiomics-clinical model to predict intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH) growth after spontaneous intracerebral hematoma. The model was developed using a training cohort (N=626) and validated with an independent testing cohort (N=270). Radiomics features and clinical predictors were selected using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method and multivariate analysis. The radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated through linear combination of selected features multiplied by their respective LASSO coefficients. The support vector machine (SVM) method was used to construct the model. IVH growth was experienced by 13.4% and 13.7% of patients in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. The Rad-score was associated with severe IVH and poor outcome. Independent predictors of IVH growth included hypercholesterolemia (odds ratio [OR], 0.12 [95%CI, 0.02-0.90]; p=0.039), baseline Graeb score (OR, 1.26 [95%CI, 1.16-1.36]; p<0.001), time to initial CT (OR, 0.70 [95%CI, 0.58-0.86]; p<0.001), international normalized ratio (OR, 4.27 [95%CI, 1.40, 13.0]; p=0.011), and Rad-score (OR, 2.3 [95%CI, 1.6-3.3]; p<0.001). In the training cohort, the model achieved an AUC of 0.78, sensitivity of 0.83, and specificity of 0.66. In the testing cohort, AUC, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.71, 0.81, and 0.64, respectively. This radiomics-clinical model thus has the potential to predict IVH growth.