Introduction
Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a chronic lung disease characterized by progressive pulmonary interstitial fibrosis and lung dysfunction. IPF patients usually show a poor prognosis with an average survival time of 3–5 years [1], and the specific etiology and pathogenesis of IPF remain unclear.
N6-methyladenosine (m6A) is the most abundant mRNA modification in mammalian cells. There are three types of proteins that regulate m6A: 1) “writers,” including methyltransferase-like 3 (METTL3), METTL14, Wilms tumor 1-associated protein, and KIAA1429; 2) “easers,” including fat mass and obesity-associated protein and alkB homologue 5; and 3) “readers,” including members of the YT521-B homology domain-containing protein and the heterogeneous nuclear ribonucleoprotein families [2]. Recent studies have suggested that m6A is involved in the regulation of numerous physiological processes, including cell differentiation, tumorigenesis, and viral immunity [3–5]. In addition, studies have shown that it could serve as a potential prognostic predictor for cancer patients [6, 7]. Another study also demonstrated that m6A modification of pri-miRNA-126 could activate the PI3K/AKT/mTOR pathway, contributing to pulmonary fibrosis in mice [8].
Since late 2019, a novel highly transmissible coronavirus, which was later defined as severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has emerged, causing a global pandemic of acute respiratory disease, named “coronavirus disease 2019” (COVID-19). To date, no effective treatment has been available. Recently, researchers identified 332 high-confidence SARS-CoV-2-human protein–protein interactions, revealing targets for drug repurposing [9]. Because COVID-19 is an acute pulmonary infection with a certain potential correlation with IPF, the association between COVID-19 and IPF at the cellular and genetic levels is worth exploring.
In this study, we innovatively explored the association between m6A methylation regulators, COVID-19 infection pathways, and immune responses. The characteristic gene expression networks and immune infiltration patterns of m6A-SARS-CoV-2 related genes in different tissues of IPF were revealed. Moreover, we evaluated the influence of these related gene expression and immune infiltration patterns on the prognosis/lung function of the IPF patients. During the COVID-19 pandemic, these results would help to further understand the link between IPF and SARS-CoV-2 infection and provide new insights for prognosis assessment and treatment of both diseases.
Results
The combined model based on Score 1–3 and survival prognosis verification
Based on the risk models of m6A-related-CoV genes (Score 1), m6A-CoV related lncRNAs (Score 2), and SARS-CoV-2 related immune infiltration patterns (Score 3), multivariate Cox regression was used to establish the combined model: Score-combined = 0.7902 × Score 1 + 0.576 × Score 2 + 0.4434 × Score 3.
Finally, we performed a prognostic validation using three independent models and a combined model. The results demonstrated that the group survival verifications of the three independent models and the combined model were significant (Figure 3A–3F). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve showed that the area under the curve (AUC) values of the combined model within 1–5 years were all greater than 0.75 in the discovery cohort, which were also greater than the AUC of the independent models (Figure 3G–3J). This suggests that the combined model has a better predictive value for the prognosis of the IPF patients. We further developed a nomogram for 1–5 years of overall survival prediction based on the combined Cox model (Figure 3K).

Validation of the prognostic prediction of pulmonary function in IPF
Lastly, we verified the correlation between our prediction method and pulmonary function in patients with IPF. We screened five m6A-CoV related genes that were significantly related to forced vital capacity (FVC) and carbon monoxide diffusing capacity (DLCO). The correlations between the 5 m6A-CoV related genes and FVC/DLCO are plotted in Figure 6A. LARP7 and CHPF levels were significantly correlated with DLCO. LARP7 was identified as a protective gene, and CHPF was considered a dangerous gene. GRPEL1, DNAJC11, and SEPSECS were significantly correlated with FVC, which were both identified as protective genes. Based on the expression of LARP7 and CHPF, patients were divided into high and low DLCO clusters. Meanwhile, based on the expression of GRPEL1, DNAJC11, and SEPSECS, patients were divided into high FVC and low FVC groups. The discrepancies in DLCO and FVC in different clusters are plotted in Figure 6B, 6D, and the different expressions of the above-described genes in different groups are shown in Figure 6C, 6E. In addition, Table 1 summarizes the networks of m6A-SARS-CoV-2 related genes and the immune infiltration patterns of patients with IPF.

Table 1. The network of m6A-SARS-Cov-2 related genes and immune infiltration patterns IPF patients' different organizations.
| Series | Cell type / Tissue | IPF patients | Score1 (m6A-related CoV genes) | Score2 (m6A-CoV related lncRNAs) | Score3 (SARS-CoV-2 related immune infiltration) | Clinical information for validation |
| GSE70867 | Bronchoalveolar lavage cells | 176 | BRD4/REEP5/ATP13A3/REEP6/PPIL3/POR/MARK3/ACAD9 | MGC4859/HYMAI | NK cells/DC cells/Mast cells NINL/SLC27A2/F2RL1/FBLN5 | Survival status and time |
| GSE28221 | Peripheral blood mononuclear cells | 120 | MOV10/HOOK1/BCKDK/DNAJC19/AKAP9/PABPC4/MAT2B | SNHG1/SNHG12/MIAT/FLJ20021/C9orf62 | Naive CD4+ T cells HOOK1 | Survival status and time |
| GSE93606 | Whole blood | 56 | ZC3H7A/YIF1A/BAG5/RHOA/NUP214/INTS4/GLA/AAR2/ATP1B1 | / | γδT cells/M2 Macrophages OS9/COLGALT1/HOOK1 | Survival status and time |
| GSE38958 | Peripheral blood mononuclear cells | 60 | GRPEL1/DNAJC11/SEPSECS/LARP7/CHPF | / | / | FVC/DLCO |
Discussion
There is some overlap in the progress between COVID-19 and pulmonary fibrosis [10–12]. In addition, IPF is a risk factor for COVID-19 as IPF patients have a higher expression of some SARS-CoV-2 related genes, which may play a crucial role in SARS-CoV-2 entry, processing, and attachment [13, 14]. Considering the connections between these two diseases, researchers have identified common differentially expressed genes, pathogenic pathways, and candidate drug targets for IPF and COVID-19 [14]. Here, we identified the association between m6A methylation regulators, COVID-19 infection pathways, and immune responses in IPF.
Our results suggest that some SARS-CoV-2 related genes in IPF are broadly regulated by m6A. Increasing evidence has shown a relationship between m6A RNA modification and antiviral responses [15–17]. Among the eight m6A-SARS-CoV-2 related genes in BAL cells, BRD4 appears to be the most promising drug target for pulmonary fibrosis [18]. Emerging evidence has revealed the role of BRD4 in fibrosis and airway remodeling. It was found that BRD4 was involved in pulmonary fibrosis by downregulating signals after growth factor stimulation [19], driving TGF-β-induced NOX4 expression in human lung fibroblasts [20], and mediating NF-kappaB-dependent epithelial-mesenchymal transition of airway epithelium [21]. In COVID-19, BRD4, ubiquitous hubs commonly found in multiple tissues, is also expected to be drug targets for rescuing multiple organ injuries and dealing with inflammation [22]. As another risk gene, RHOA encodes a member of the Rho family of small GTPases, which cycles between inactive GDP-bound and active GTP-bound states and functions as a molecular switch in signal transduction cascades [23]. RHOA signaling can regulate cyclin D1 expression and activate proliferation in IPF lung fibroblasts [24]. In summary, patients with high expression levels of these risk genes should be considered. For IPF patients, more attention should be paid to prevent viral infection. For COVID-19 patients, the possible development of fibrosis should be prevented in advance.
In addition, the role of immune cells in the pathogenesis of IPF has attracted increasing attention. Our study found six types of immune cells and their co-expression patterns with SARS-CoV-2 related genes that significantly affected the prognosis of IPF. High infiltration of activated NK cells, activated mast cells, γδT cells, and M2 macrophages were risk factors, while naive CD4+T cells and resting DCs were protective factors. This suggests that the high activation state of immune cells in IPF is detrimental to patient prognosis.
NK cells play a role in blocking fibrotic liver diseases [25]; however, their role in the lung is still under debate [26]. Our study showed that activated NK cells had high infiltration in the high-risk group, which might be associated with infection and inflammation in patients. Compared with other pulmonary fibrosis diseases, more mast cells and a high level of TGF-β were found in patients with IPF [27]. Mast cells not only secrete TGF-β, a profibrotic mediator that contributes to fibroblast proliferation, but also enhances their response [28]. Moreover, mast cells and fibroblasts are closely related and may promote the development of pulmonary fibrosis through synergistic action [29–31]. Our study also suggests that activated CD4+ T cells may be a risk factor. T-helper (Th) 1 secretes IFN-γ to reduce pulmonary fibrosis, whereas Th2 cytokines IL-4, IL-5, and IL-13 stimulate fibroblast proliferation, collagen production, and fibroblast activation [32]. Th17 has a pro-fibrotic effect by promoting fibroblast proliferation and cytokine secretion in a bleomycin-induced systemic sclerosis mouse model [33]. Th9 cells, which produce IL-9, also play dual roles in pulmonary fibrosis. Overexpression of IL-9 in vivo leads to the accumulation of collagen and laminin in bronchial tubes, resulting in a pro-fibrotic effect [34]. M2 macrophages had recognized pro-fibrotic effects. The M2-type macrophage marker CCL18 was significantly increased in the serum and BAL of IPF patients, involved in the formation of fibrosis [35]; M2 macrophages can also produce TGF-β and PDGF to continuously activate fibroblasts and promote myofibroblast proliferation [36].The role of γδT cells in pulmonary fibrosis remains controversial. A recent study showed that pulmonary inflammation and fibrosis were promoted by PM2.5-induced secretion of IL-17A, which inhibits autophagy in bronchial epithelial cells [37]. In contrast, a previous study also suggested that pulmonary γδT cells seemed to play a regulatory role in suppressing fibrosis via the suppression of IL-17A production and IL-17A(+) CD4(+) T cells. The results of our study support this former viewpoint.
Therefore, high immune infiltration in the lung microenvironment is a risk factor for poor prognosis. At the same time, these immune cells may be widely associated with SARS-CoV-2 and fibrosis-related genes. The control of pulmonary inflammation has clinical significance in relieving the symptoms of IPF or COVID-19 patients.
In conclusion, we identified SARS-CoV-2 related genes associated with IPF prognosis and lung function and demonstrated that their expression was widely regulated by m6A regulators. In addition, we found some characteristic co-expression networks of immune cells and SARS-CoV-2 related genes that were thought to mediate special immune response patterns in IPF. Our research is important for further understanding the genetic and cellular links between IPF and SARS-CoV-2 infection in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. These associations could also be beneficial for the management of IPF and COVID-19.
Materials and Methods
The general ideas and methodologies used in this study are drawn as a flow chart (Figure 7).
Patient cohort and data preparation
The discovery cohort of the study contained 176 IPF patients from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO, available at: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/) database (GSE70867), including 176 IPF patients’ BAL cells. Three validation cohorts were used for the external validation (GSE93606, GSE28221, and GSE38958) to examine the predictive effect of the prediction method. The microarray data of GSE93606 included 57 patients with IPF and peripheral whole blood samples. The microarray data of GSE28221 included 120 peripheral blood mononuclear cells from patients with IPF. The microarray data of GSE38958 included 60 IPF patients’ peripheral whole blood samples. All procedures in this study complied with the protocol. For analyses of data from a public database, approval and informed consent from the local ethics committee were not required.
Identification of immune infiltration patterns in IPF
The ESTIMATE algorithm was applied to identify the degree of immune cell infiltration and to predict the immune status [39]. Furthermore, the CIBERSORT algorithm was utilized to assess the infiltration of 22 types of immune cells in IPF [40]. Only those samples with a CIBERSORT output of p < 0.05 were deemed worthy of further analysis.
Prognosis prediction model of IPF based on multiple factors
Potential prognostic factors (such as genes, lncRNAs, and cells) were screened using univariate Cox analysis, and factors with p < 0.01 were retained. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) was applied to select the optimal variables, which is a type of linear regression using shrinkage [41]. Then, we created a prognosis prediction model of IPF using the selected prognostic factors.
For each patient, the formula for calculating the risk score was as follows: Score=∑i=1nCoefi*xi, where Coefi indicates that the coefficient is derived from the multivariate Cox regression, and xi is the value of each factor. According to the risk scores, the optimal cutting point was identified using the maximally selected rank method, and a prognosis prediction model of IPF was developed.
The Kaplan–Meier method was employed to examine the survival curves and compare the differences in survival across different scoring subgroups. The ROC curve of the risk score model was constructed to evaluate the impact of different factors in patients with IPF.
Analysis of differentially expressed genes and functional enrichment
The limma algorithm was used to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between the two groups. Genes with an FDR adjusted p-value < 0.0001 and an absolute value of log2 (fold change) > 1 were considered immune-related DEGs.
GO analysis was used to evaluate the degree of enrichment of DEGs in biological processes, cellular components, and molecular functions. Those with p < 0.05 and count (the number of enriched genes) ≥3 were considered as the cutoff criterion. GSEA was used to determine the functional or pathway enrichment under the proportion of genes with a log2FC greater than 1 (or lower than −1) within a given gene set.
Statistical analysis
All analyses were performed with R version 4.0.2 (https://www.r-project.org/) and the corresponding packages.
Data availability
Data analyzed in this manuscript is already publicly available from the following GEO (https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/) accession numbers: GSE70867, GSE93606, GSE28221, and GSE38958.
Author Contributions
Study was conceived and designed by Q.Z. Statistical analyses were performed by X.L. and C.P. Software package was prepared by Z.Z. and H.C. Manuscript was written by X.L. and C.P. X.L. and C.P. are joint first authors.
Conflicts of Interest
The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest.
Funding
This study was supported by grants of the National Natural Science Foundation of China (81700658) and the Hunan Provincial Natural Science Foundation-Outstanding Youth Foundation (2020JJ3058).
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